ကုိးလေလာက္ေတာ.ေစာင္.ႀကည္.ရမယ္ ၊The 9 - Month Wait

ကံေကာင္းယင္ကုိးလတဲ.ခင္ဗ် ....
The 9-month wait

 

ၿခေသၤ.ကြ်န္းကုိဖန္တီးခဲ.သူသက္ရွိရာဇ၀င္( Living Legend ) လုိ.ဆုိနုိင္တဲ.ဘဘလီ

ယေန.ကမ ၻာႏွင္.အ၀ွမ္းၿပန္.ႏွံ.ခံစားေနႀကရေသာစီးပြားေရးအႀကပ္အတည္းမွလြတ္ေၿမာက္
နုိင္ေရးအတြက္အေမရိကန္သမၼတသစ္အုိဘားမားကုိယ္တုိင္ဦးေဆာင္၍ေၿဖရွင္းနုိင္ရန္ႀကဳိးပမ္း
ေနႀကသည္ကုိအားလံုးအသိပင္ၿဖစ္သည္။သုိ.ေသာ္အေၿခအေနမ်ားတုိးတက္ေကာင္းမြန္လာ
ေအာင္သမၼအုိဘားမားရဲ.စီမံကိန္းကစြမ္းေဆာင္နုိင္ရန္အခ်ိန္ဘယ္ေလာက္ႀကာမည္နည္း ?။
ထုိေမးခြန္းရဲ.အေၿဖအတြက္ကာယကံရွင္ကမည္သုိ.ဆုိသည္ကုိမသိရေသးေသာ္လည္းအာရွ
တုိက္ရဲ.နုိင္ငံၿပဳသုခမိန္ႀကီးၿခေသၤ.ကြ်မ္းမွဘဘလီ(လီကြမ္ယူ) ကေတာ.အခ်ိန္ကာလအေန
နဲ.ကုိးလခန္.ေတာ.ေစာင္.ႀကည္.ရဦးမည္ဟုေဟာကိန္းထုတ္လုိက္ပါသည္။

မစၥတာလီကြမ္ယူကအခုၿဖစ္ေနတဲ.စီးပြားေရးဆုတ္ယုတ္မွဳဟာကုိးလေလာက္ေတာ.ႀကာ
နုိင္တယ္ဆုိတာသိသာပါတယ္လုိ.ေၿပာဆုိလုိက္ပါသည္။တစ္ဆက္တည္းမွာပဲသူကမ်ဴိးဆက္
သစ္လူငယ္ေခါင္းေဆာင္ေတြအေနနဲ.အခုလုိအခက္အခဲအက်ပ္အတည္းနဲ.ရင္ဆုိင္ရတဲ.အ
ခါဟုိယခင္အႏွစ္ေလးဆယ္ကသူတုိ.ေခတ္တံုးကလုိပဲပုိမုိႀကံ.ခုိင္စြမ္းေဆာင္လာနုိင္ဖုိ.တုိက္
တြန္းသြားပါတယ္။

သူ.ရဲ. Tanjong Pagar မဲဆႏၵနယ္ရဲ.တရုတ္ႏွစ္သစ္ကူးညစာစားပြဲမွာသူကေၿပာႀကား
ရာမွာအေမရိကန္စီးပြားေရးဟာအဆုိးဆံုးအေၿခအေနကေနလြန္ေၿမာက္လာမယ္.ရည္ညြန္း
ခ်က္ေတြေတြ.နုိင္ပါတယ္။ကံေကာင္းေထာက္မယင္ ၂၀၀၉ ခုႏွစ္အကုန္ဒါမွမဟုတ္ ၂၀၁၀
ႏွစ္ဦးပုိင္းမွာအေမရိကန္စီးပြားေရးဦးေမာ.လာနုိင္ပါတယ္လုိ.ဆုိလုိက္ပါသည္။

စကၤာပူနုိင္ငံအေနနဲ.အေမရိကန္ကုိလံုး၀မမွီခုိေတာ.ဘူးလုိ.ဆုိခဲ.ေပမယ္.လြန္ခဲ.တဲ.နွစ္ဦး
ပုိင္းကအစုိးရေခါင္းေဆာင္ပုိင္းအေနနဲ.တရုတ္နွင္.အိႏၵိ.နုိင္ငံတုိ.ရဲ.တုိးတက္မွဳကစီးပြားေရး
က်ဆင္းမွဳကုိသက္သာရာရေစနုိင္လိမ္.မယ္လုိ.ခန္.မွန္းခ်က္တြပ်က္သုန္းခဲ.ၿပီးမစၥတာလီကြမ္
ယူကေသာႀကာေန.ကေတာ.စကၤာပူအေနနဲ.အဆုိပါနုိင္ငံေတြရဲ.ဖြံ.ၿဖဳိးတုိးတက္မွဳကအနည္း
ငယ္အက်ဴိးသက္ေရာက္မွဳခံစားနုိင္ေပမယ္.အေမရိကန္နုိင္ငံလုိေတာ.လံုး၀ၿပန္လည္ထူေထာင္
လာေအာင္စြမ္းေဆာင္ေစနုိင္မွာမဟုတ္ပါဘူးလုိ.တင္ၿပခဲ.ပါသည္။

အေမရိကန္နိုင္ငံရဲ.ထင္ရွားတဲ.စီးပြားေရးပညာရွင္မ်ားကေတာ.သမၼတအုိဘားမားရဲ.ဘ႑ာေရး
ဆုိင္ရာမူ၀ါဒေတြဟာအေမရိကန္စီးပြားေရးကုိၿပန္လည္ရွင္သန္လာဖုိ.သံသယရွိေနခဲ.ၿပီးမစၥတာ
လီကြမ္ယူကလည္းစကၤာပူရဲ.စီးပြားေရးၿပန္လည္ရွင္သန္ေရးစီမံကိန္းကိုိလည္ဒီႏွစ္ကုန္မွာၿပန္လည္
သံုးသပ္ၿပင္ဆင္ရမယ္လုိ.ဆုိလိုက္ပါသည္။

စကၤာပူနုိင္ငံသားမ်ားနဲ.အစုိးရကေတာ.စုိးရိမ္ေႀကာက္ရြံ.ၿခင္းမရွိပါဘူးလုိ.သူကထပ္ေလာင္းေၿပာ
ႀကားခဲ.ၿပီးစီးပြားေရးက်ဆင္းမွဳဟာႏွစ္ေပါင္းမ်ားစြာဆက္တုိက္ၿဖစ္ခဲ.ယင္ေတာင္မွစကၤာပူနုိင္ငံမွာ
အဲဒီအခက္အခဲကုိေက်ာ္လႊားရွင္သန္လြတ္ေၿမာက္နုိင္ဖုိ.အရင္းအၿမစ္ေတြရွိပါတယ္လုိ.ဆုိပါတယ္။

”ယခုအခါမွာေတာ.အစုိးရရဲ.ရင္းႏွီးၿမဳပ္ႏွံမွဳမူ၀ါဒေတြဟာအႀကီးအက်ယ္ဆံုးရွဳံးမွဳေတြၿဖစ္ေစနုိင္ေပ
မယ္.အဲဒီရင္းႏွီးၿမဳပ္ႏွံမွဳေတြဟာေနာင္ ၁၀ႏွစ္၊၁၅ႏွစ္၊အႏွစ္၂၀အထိရည္ရြယ္ၿပီးလုပ္ထားတာပါ။
ကြ်န္ေတာ္တုိ.ဒီစီးပြားေရးဒုကၡပင္လယ္လွဳိင္းဒဏ္ကုိေက်ာ္လႊားလြန္ေၿမာက္နုိင္မွာပါ။စီးပြားေရး
ၿပန္လည္ဦးေမာ.လာတာနဲ.အမွ်ဒီရွယ္ရာေစ်းေတြၿပန္တက္လာမွာပါ”“---------လုိ.သူကေၿပာလုိက္ပါတယ္။

မစၥတာလီဟာယခုသီတင္းပတ္အတြင္းအစုိးရကေႀကၿငာခဲ.တဲ.ဘ႑ာေရးဆုိင္ရာစီမံခ်က္မ်ားစြာ
ကုိလည္းယံုႀကည္ေႀကာင္းေထာက္ခံခဲ.ပါတယ္။အဲဒီစီမံကိန္းထဲမွာစီးပြားေရးအခက္အခဲကာလမွာ
အလုပ္လုပ္ကုိင္ခြင္.ေတြမပ်က္စီးေစနုိင္တဲ.လုပ္ငန္းခြင္အမွတ္ေပးစီမံကိန္းလုိထူးထူးၿခားၿခားမူ၀ါ
ဒေတြပါ၀င္ပါတယ္။

တစ္ခ်ဴိ.လြတ္ေတာ္အမတ္ေတြကလူတုိင္းကုိစကၤာပူေဒၚလာ၃၀၀ ထုတ္ေပးၿပီးအေရာင္းအ၀ယ္
ေစ်းကြက္ကုိတြန္းအားေပးရမယ္လုိ.ေၿပာေနတာဟာသူတုိ.လက္ရွိအေၿခအေနကုိၿခံဳငံုသံုးသပ္
နားလည္နုိင္စြမ္းမရွိတာကုိၿပသေနတာလုိ.သူကဆုိပါတယ္။

”က်ြန္ေတာ္ေတာ.သူတုိ.ကုိစီးပြားေရးအေၿခခံသေဘာတရားေရးရာသင္တန္းေတြေပးဖုိ.အေရးတ
ႀကီးလုိအပ္တယ္လုိ.ေတာင္ထင္ပါတယ္လုိ.သူကေၿပာလုိက္ပါတယ္။

”စကၤာပူရဲ.လက္ရွိအေနအထားကဘယ္လုိလဲ၊ကမ ၻာ.လက္ရွိအေၿခအေနကဘယ္လိုလဲ၊ကြ်န္ေတာ္
တုိ.ဟာလုပ္သားစြမ္းရည္ကုိအမွီၿပဳၿပီးတစ္ကမ ၻာလံုးအတြက္ကုန္ပစၥည္းေတြထုတ္လုပ္ေနတာ၊၀န္
ေဆာင္မွဳေတြေပးေနတာၿဖစ္ပါတယ္ ” လုိ.သူကဆုိလုိက္ပါတယ္။

”စကၤာပူဟာဂ်ပန္ကလဲြယင္တစ္ၿခားအာရွတုိင္းၿပည္မ်ားထက္သာပါတယ္။စကၤာပူလူငယ္မ်ဴိးဆက္
အေနနဲ.အခက္အခဲနဲ.ေတြ.တဲ.အခါရဲရင္.စြာဆံုးၿဖတ္နုိင္မွဳ၊ခြန္အားစြမ္းရည္အၿပည္.ရွိၿပီးၿပန္လည္
ထူေထာင္နုိင္မယ္”လုိ.သူယံုႀကည္ပါတယ္တဲ.။သူတုိ.ဟာစကၤာပူကုိစိမ္းလန္းစုိေၿပေစမယ္.စီမံကိန္း
သစ္ေတြနဲ.အတူအာရွတုိက္ရဲ.အလွပဆံုးသက္၀င္လွဳပ္ရွားေနတဲ.ၿမဳိ.အၿဖစ္ဖန္တီးနုိင္ပါလိမ္.မယ္
လိုုိုိုုိ.သူကယံုႀကည္ပါတယ္။

”ဒါဟာယံုတမ္းစကားမဟုတ္ပါဘူး၊လက္ရွိစီးပြားေရးအခက္အခဲေတြႀကားထဲကေနေနာက္၅ႏွစ္၊
၁၀ႏွစ္မွာတစ္ကယ္ၿဖစ္ေအာင္အေကာင္အထည္ေဖာ္ေဆာင္ရြက္ရမွာၿဖစ္ပါတယ္”လုိ.ဆုိပါတယ္။

မစၥတာလီကြမ္ယူကစကၤာပူနုိင္ငံသားမ်ားကုိေရွ.ေခတ္လူႀကီးေတြရဲ.အလုပ္ႀကဳိးစားမွဳ၊စြမ္းရည္ၿပည္.
၀မွဳ၊တုိးတက္တီထြင္ႀကံဆနုိင္မွဳတုိ.ကုိအေၿခခံၿပီးနုိင္ငံကုိဆက္လက္တည္ေဆာက္ဖုိ.အားေပးတုိုက္
တြန္းလုိက္ၿပီး ” သင္တုိ.ဟာရဲရင္.တဲ.ၿခေသၤ.ႏွလံုးသားရွိတဲ.စြန္.စားတည္ေထာင္သူေတြရဲ.အဆက္
အႏြယ္ေတြၿဖစ္တယ္။သင္တုိ.မွာေအာင္ၿမင္ေအာင္စြမ္းေဆာင္နုိင္မယ္.ခြန္အားသတၱိေတြရွိတယ္။
သင္တုိ.နဲ.ပါ၀င္လာေနသူေတြကေတာ.ရုိးသားႀကဳိးစားၿပီးအရည္အခ်င္းရွိတဲ.အေရွ.ေတာင္အာရွ
နုိင္ငံႏွင္.တရုတ္၊အိႏိၵယနုိင္ငံတုိ.မွလာေရာက္ၿပီးေၿပာင္းေရြ.အေၿခခ်ေနထုိင္လာသူေတြၿဖစ္တယ္။
သူတုိ.ေတြနဲ.တုိ.အားလံုးပူးေပါင္းၿပီးေအာင္ၿမင္ေအာင္စြမ္းေဆာင္နုိင္ရမယ္”လုိ.ဆုိလုိက္ပါတယ္။

အဲဒါဆုိယင္ေတာ.ကမ ၻာႀကီးဟာအခက္အခဲကလြတ္ေၿမာက္လာၿပီဆုိတာသိလာနုိင္မွာပါလုိ.သုခမိန္
၀န္ႀကီးကဆုိလုိက္ေႀကာင္းပါခင္ဗ်ား...။

အတုိက္အခံေတြကုိနလံမထူနုိင္ေအာင္ႏွိပ္ကြပ္တာနဲ.စကၤာပူနုိင္ငံသားမ်ားကုိနုိင္ငံေရးလွဳပ္ရွားမွဳ
ေတြမွာမလွဳပ္ရွားနုိင္ေအာင္ဖိႏွိပ္ခ်ဴပ္ခ်ယ္ထားတာကလဲြယင္မစၥတာလီကြမ္ယူဟာကြ်န္ေတာ္သ
ေဘာအက်ဆံုးအာရွတုိက္ရဲ.အေလးစားခံရဆံုးသက္ရွိနုိင္ငံေရးပညာရွင္ႀကီးပါပဲ။
ေၿပာရယင္ဒုတိယေၿမာက္သေဘာက်တဲ.မေလးရွားကမဟာသီယာ( ကုိယ္.အာရွသားခ်င္းဆုိေတာ.
ပုိသေဘာက်မိတာပါ။ )ေတာင္သူ.ေလာက္မပါးနပ္ပါဘူး။
ဒါေႀကာင္.လဲဘဘလီတုိ.ကယေန.အထိပန္းပန္လ်က္ပါပဲ။
သူဘယ္ေလာက္ပဲလူ.အခြင္.အေရးေတြဖိနွိပ္ပါေစယေန.စကၤာပူကုိလက္ရွိအေၿခအေနၿဖစ္ေအာင္
လုပ္ေပးနုိင္ခဲ.တဲ.သူ.အရည္အခ်င္းကုိေတာ.အထင္တႀကီးနဲ.အသိအမွတ္ၿပဳရမွာပါ။

ဒီမွာမူရင္းသတင္းေလးပါ...

By then the world will know if things will get better: MM


NINE months — that is how long it will take for the world to know if American President Barack Obama’s fiscal stimulus programmes will be successful.


And that will give the world a better idea of how long the ongoing recession would last, said Minister Mentor Lee Kuan Yew, as he backed a younger generation of Singaporeans to emerge stronger from the latest crisis just like how his generation came out of the severe slump some four decades ago.


“We will have an indication of when America’s economy will bottom out and start to grow again. With luck, it could be by the end of 2009 or in early 2010,” Mr Lee said at his annual Tanjong Pagar constituency Chinese New Year dinner.


Although it had been said that Singapore was no longer overly dependent on the United States, early predictions last year by Government leaders of how the growth of China and India could mitigate the downturn have fizzled out, and Mr Lee on Friday stated the reality that while the Republic “may get some spin-offs”, these countries “cannot lift us like a US recovery”.


But with many leading American economists doubtful if Mr Obama’s policies would kickstart the US economy, Mr Lee said Singapore’s Resilience Package “may have to be updated” by the end of the year.


“Singaporeans and their government are not in panic,” he added. Even if the recession “goes on for several years”, the country has “the wherewithal to survive”.


And although it may look like the Government’s investment strategy has led to “a big loss today”, the investments are for the “next 10, 15, 20 years”. “We will ride the storm and when the economy recovers, our shares go up,” he said.


Mr Lee also gave his vote of confidence to the numerous Budget initiatives announced this week, including the “unusual” Jobs Credit scheme to “buy us time”.

“So, those MPs who say ‘give $300 to every citizen’ and we will boost the retail, they just don’t understand the bigger picture,” he said.


“I think it’s important they should be given a course in macro economics.”


“What is Singapore’s position? What is the world’s position, and this is our position in the world ... We depend on the quality of our workers, producing goods for the world, producing services for the world.”


Singaporeans are better off here than in any other Asian country — except Japan — if they had the same job, added Mr Lee, who expressed his faith in younger Singaporeans having “the grit, stamina and resourcefulness to bounce back” and make Singapore “one of Asia’s most vibrant and beautiful cities”, with many new and green developments.


“This is not a pie in the sky. It will be realised in the next five to 10 years, even with the current financial crisis,” he said.


Encouraging Singaporeans to build on the “hard work, resourcefulness and ingenuity” of earlier generations, Mr Lee said: “You are the descendants of these lion-hearted pioneers. You have it in you to succeed. Joining you are hardworking and talented new emigrants from Asean, India and China. Together, we can make the grade.”

By then the world will know if things will get better: MM